PD has partnered with AccuScore this season to bring you data-driven content on the Patriots and their opponents throughout the year. AccuScore Advisor offers professional grade football betting systems that help build sustainable success while betting on NFL football.

The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is projected for 63 rushing yards and a 43% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Ryan Fitzpatrick averages 2.54 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.83 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Fred Jackson averages 75 rushing yards and 0.49 rushing TDs in Buffalo Bills wins and 51 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots have a 31% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF +9 — Over/Under line is 51.5

‘CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England Patriots ATS RECORD Buffalo Bills ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 2-0-0 All Games 1-1-0 New England Patriots
Road Games 1-0-0 Home Games 0-1-0 New England Patriots
When Favored 2-0-0 When Underdog 1-0-0 No Edge
Division Opp 1-0-0 Division Opp 0-0-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 14-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-14-0 New England Patriots

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England Patriots ATS RECORD Buffalo Bills ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 7-8-2 All Games 8-7-1 Buffalo Bills
Road Games 2-4-2 Home Games 3-4-0 Buffalo Bills
When Favored 6-7-1 When Underdog 5-6-1 New England Patriots
Division Opp 1-4-1 Division Opp 3-2-1 Buffalo Bills
Opp Under .500 3-3-1 Opp .500+ Record 3-2-1 Buffalo Bills

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New England Patriots O-U-P RECORD Buffalo Bills O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0 OVER
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 1-0-0 OVER
All Totals Last Season 6-10-1 All Totals Last Season 6-10-0 UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-6-0 At Home Last Season 3-5-0 UNDER